How Predictive Models Enhance Defensive Game Planning

Hart High School (CA) defen­sive coor­di­na­tor David Padilla talks about the val­ue of Hudl’s What’s Next?” report and how it’s helped ele­vate this ris­ing Southern California program.

How Predictive Models Enhance Defensive Game Planning

Hart High School (CA) defen­sive coor­di­na­tor David Padilla talks about the val­ue of Hudl’s What’s Next?” report and how it’s helped ele­vate this ris­ing Southern California program.

David Padilla had an awakening. 

As an assis­tant at Los Angeles’ Chaminade Prep in 2017, he had to prep for St. John Bosco, com­mon­ly regard­ed as one of the nation’s top programs.

At Chaminade, data dri­ves many of the staff’s coach­ing deci­sions. It was all jus­ti­fied in that Bosco game. The Eagles were the only team to hold them with­out any first-half points all sea­son long.

It opened my eyes to what a great tool the data could be,” Padilla said.

And since then, he’s had a roadmap for how to thrive. Now at Newhall, California’s William Hart High School, Padilla is among the country’s most fre­quent users of Hudl’s What’s Next?” report, which pre­dicts your opponent’s sit­u­a­tion­al play calls based on the data in your scout film. It’s help­ing him build killer game plans.

0:30 — Padilla’s coach­ing journey

Padilla’s back­ground is in strength and con­di­tion­ing, and defense. But along the way he had an epiphany. I stopped grab­bing things in the air and real­ized the impor­tance of data,” he said.

1:45 — Lessons from fac­ing the Alabama of high school football”

Going toe-to-toe with nation­al­ly-revered St. John Bosco in 2017 — and being the only school to hold the Braves to no points in the first half that sea­son — opened his eyes to what a great tool Hudl Assist could be. It solid­i­fied what I had to do for the rest of my career,” he said. 

3:45 — With data, it takes a village

Time is gold and coach­es don’t have a lot of it. Padilla explains why Hudl is so impor­tant for the Hart coach­ing staff’s week­ly plans dur­ing the season.

4:50 — The role of Hudl Assist

Padilla says the inter­ac­tive reports save him a half-dozen hours of work dur­ing the most labor-inten­sive parts of the week.

7:30 — The val­ue of pre­dic­tive models

Every game through­out the sea­son builds your arse­nal of tools. Padilla talks about why he uses pre­dic­tive mod­els so much in his game plan­ning, and how it allows him to take cal­cu­lat­ed chances” with his data.

9:30 — Padilla’s unique appli­ca­tion of the What’s Next?” report

Some teams wait until they have mul­ti­ple games on an oppo­nent before run­ning the report. Instead, Padilla runs one on each indi­vid­ual scout film, look­ing at the com­mon­al­i­ties and what the mod­el pre­dicts against dif­fer­ent fronts. This allows him to bet­ter sharp­en his defen­sive plans.

13:50 — It works with self-scout­ing, too

With the expect­ed short­ened sched­ule this sea­son, Padilla says he’s going to start using What’s Next?” to make his team more aware of their own ten­den­cies and how to fix them.

14:40 — Avoiding paral­y­sis by analysis”

How much do you account for an opponent’s self-aware­ness to cor­rect their own ten­den­cies? Padilla explains how this line of think­ing can lead you to call games too con­ser­v­a­tive­ly, and how to avoid it.